Tags:#Big Data#Kenneth Cukier#Nate Silver#predictive analytics Related Posts Massive Non-Desk Workforce is an Opportunity fo… While it has become de rigueur to ascribe all sorts of supernatural powers to Big Data, one of the world’s most celebrated statisticians, Nate Silver, is far more circumspect about it. If anything, according to Silver in his book The Signal and the Noise, Big Data carries the potential to cloud our decisions by introducing far more noise than it does signal. It’s an interesting position for someone who makes a living predicting the future, and one that directly counters other expert opinion.Take, for example, the new book from data experts Viktor Mayer-Schonberger (University of Oxford) and Kenneth Cukier (The Economist), Big Data: A Revolution That Will Transform How We Live, Work and Think. Mayer-Schonberger and Cukier urge us to trust data, not worrying about trying to understand correlations but simply to accept it. As Cukier tells Wired, “Big Data enables us not to test [a] hypothesis, but to let the data speak and tell us what hypothesis is best. And in that way it completely reshapes what we call the scientific method or…how we understand and make sense of the world.”One big problem with this view is that it assumes we have any clue how to query the data to even come up with a “what,” much less a “why.” It’s not as if data simply presents itself to us, and we read it objectively.Quoting Silver at length:“[Big Data] is sometimes seen as a cure-all, as computers were in the 1970s. Chris Anderson…wrote in 2008 that the sheer volume of data would obviate the need for theory, and even the scientific method….“[T]hese views are badly mistaken. The numbers have no way of speaking for themselves. We speak for them. We imbue them with meaning….[W]e may construe them in self-serving ways that are detached from their objective reality.“Data-driven predictions can succeed–and they can fail. It is when we deny our role in the process that the odds of failure rise. Before we demand more of our data, we need to demand more of ourselves….Unless we work actively to become aware of the biases we introduce, the returns to additional information may be minimal–or diminishing.”So, for example, more data has not resulted in less political divide, as Silver points out. It has only hardened positions on either side of the aisle. The same holds true for global warming science. The more data we have, the less we seem to agree.Why? Because data is never neutral. Or, rather, our perception of it is not neutral.This is as true for individual enterprises grappling with product or personnel decisions as it is for countries debating policy issues. Big Data can contribute to the solving these issues…even as it contributes to making them more difficult. Again quoting Silver:If the quantity of information is increasing by 2.5 quintillion bytes per day, the amount of useful information almost certainly isn’t. Most of it is just noise, and the noise is increasing faster than the signal. There are so many hypotheses to test, so many data sets to mine–but a relatively constant amount of objective truth.This jibes with Gartner’s Svetlana Sicular, who suggests that “Formulating a right question is always hard, but with big data, it is an order of magnitude harder,” due in part to the difficulty of figuring out meaningful correlations in our data. Again, while it may seem convenient to wish for the “data to speak for itself,” it simply doesn’t. It can’t. It is always mediated by imperfect individuals with all of our biases, strengths and self-interest.Which is not to say that data can’t help us with our answers. Silver certainly turns to data to help him forecast elections, baseball games and Oscar winners. The trick, as he argues, is to take a Bayesian approach to data analytics, getting comfortable with probabilities, working hard to recognize and account for our biases, and not trying to predict certainties. When we predict certainties, we are almost always wrong.In short, Big Data has tended to come with its share of Big Hype. So long as we’re realistic about its potential, and recognize that our data is only as useful as the human intelligence we bring to it, minus the human biases with which we burden it, Big Data should, indeed, pay significant dividends. Cognitive Automation is the Immediate Future of… Matt Asay IT + Project Management: A Love Affair 3 Areas of Your Business that Need Tech Now
Patna, Jan 2 (PTI) The Bihar Cabinet today gave its nod to the “master plan” for construction of ultra modern multi-storied residential and non-residential buildings at Gardanibagh area of the state capital.The cabinet meeting, which was chaired by Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, gave its nod to the “master plan” proposal of Building Construction Department, Cabinet Secretariat Departments special secretary Upendra Nath Pandey told reporters here in a post cabinet briefing.Under the master plan, multi-storied residential buildings would be constructed at Gardanibagh area for judicial officers and administrative officers at 14.5 acres and 13.16 acres of land respectively, Pandey said.It would also have quarters for the government staff (of grade III and IV) to be built at 23.99 acres of land, he said adding that government staff quarters were constructed between 1920s and 30s at Gardanibagh.Besides, the master plan also envisages construction of non-residential buildings which would house several offices of Central and state government such as Information Commission, Lokayukta, Human Rights Commission, Finance Directorate, etc, he added.Apart from offices of Central and state government, the new urban centre will also have hospital, hotel, business centre, IT, textile centre, sports, parks, playground, parking facility and other facilities, the special secretary said.The Cabinet sanctioned Rs 105.95 crore for construction of new police centre by demolishing dilapidated and old police line in Patna district, Pandey said.It also gave its nod to release Rs 186.67 crore for construction of 81 school buildings or completion of under construction school buildings sanctioned for setting up “Model School” centrally sponsored scheme in 2009-10 and 2010-11, he said.advertisementAs part of its policy for having a secondary school at every panchayat, the Cabinet approved a proposal to upgrade an upgraded middle school into upgraded higher secondary school (+2) if it has 0.75 acres of land against earlier requirement of 1 to 1.5 acres of land for the purpose, Pandey said. PTI AR RG LNS
Quique Sanchez Flores insists Watford have plenty to play forby Paul Vegasa month agoSend to a friendShare the loveNew Watford boss Quique Sanchez Flores insists there’s plenty to play for this season.Sanchez Flores thinks the decision to bring him back in place of Gracia demonstrates the club’s ambition and shows why they can achieve “something special”. “I never see Watford at the bottom,” he said.”Three years ago, we were never there. The last three years, it was impossible to think about that, but football’s very hard right now. It’s very equal, very even and everything is pure competition, so everything is possible.”We need to go out of this position as soon as possible.”The ambition is the same. This is a club that is very clear about the way they want to grow and so I realise of course they have changed a lot of things, the training ground, the players, the squad.”But [what they want] is exactly the same what they wanted from me three years ago.”Now it’s a little bit different because they’re established in the Premier League, they want to keep going in the same category, so the pressure is the same, but the squad and the objective of the club they are different.”I’m confident we can work together and we can do something special.” About the authorPaul VegasShare the loveHave your say
About the authorPaul VegasShare the loveHave your say Liverpool fullback Robertson quits Twitter after Napoli backlashby Paul Vegasa month agoSend to a friendShare the loveLiverpool left-back Andrew Robertson may have deactivated his Twitter account.The decision could be connected to the Reds’ 2-0 defeat at Napoli on Tuesday.The Scot gave away a late penalty when he was adjudged to have fouled Jose Callejon in the box, with Dries Mertens slotting home from the spot.Fernando Llorente then nipped in ahead of Robertson to seal victory for the home side in stoppage time.Reds boss Jurgen Klopp hit out at the decision to award the the penalty – and the failure to overturn it through VAR – after the game, although former Premier League referee Mark Clattenburg has claimed it was the right decision.The Mirror reports a search for his Twitter account ‘@andrewrobertso5’ shows up no results, although his Instagram account is still online at the time of writing.
JERUSALEM — Israel’s prime minister says Oman will open its airspace to Israel’s national airline.The move appears to have no immediate practical effect as the carrier is barred from flying over Saudi Arabia. But it marks another sign of warming ties between Israel and Gulf Arab states.Benjamin Netanyahu told a gathering of Israeli ambassadors Monday that Oman’s Sultan Qaboos bin Said granted El Al permission to pass through its airspace during the Israeli leader’s surprise visit to the country in October. The two states have no formal diplomatic relations.Saudi Arabia broke a decades-long ban on the use of its airspace for flights to Israel last spring, when it allowed India’s national carrier to transit its skies. The kingdom’s approval did not extend to El Al.The Associated Press
FORT ST. JOHN, B.C. – A severe thunderstorm watch has been issued for the B.C. Peace and Pine Pass.The watch says that conditions are favourable for the development of severe thunderstorms that could produce strong wind gusts, large hail and heavy rain. The forecast says Fort St. John could receive 10 to 15 mm or rain.See the full warning below. 10:59 AM PDT Friday 28 June 2019Severe thunderstorm watch in effect for:B.C. North Peace RiverB.C. South Peace RiverConditions are favourable for the development of severe thunderstorms that may be capable of producing strong wind gusts, large hail and heavy rain.Heavy downpours can cause flash floods and water pooling on roads. Lightning kills and injures Canadians every year. Remember, when thunder roars, go indoors!Severe thunderstorm watches are issued when atmospheric conditions are favourable for the development of thunderstorms that could produce one or more of the following: large hail, damaging winds, torrential rainfall.Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to BCstorm@canada.ca or tweet reports using #BCStorm.10:59 AM PDT Friday 28 June 2019Severe thunderstorm watch in effect for: Highway 97 – Pine PassConditions are favourable for the development of severe thunderstorms that may be capable of producing strong wind gusts, large hail and heavy rain.Heavy downpours can cause flash floods and water pooling on roads. Lightning kills and injures Canadians every year. Remember, when thunder roars, go indoors!Severe thunderstorm watches are issued when atmospheric conditions are favourable for the development of thunderstorms that could produce one or more of the following: large hail, damaging winds, torrential rainfall.Weather in the mountains can change suddenly resulting in hazardous driving conditions. Road conditions are available at www.drivebc.ca.Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to BCstorm@canada.ca or tweet reports using #BCStorm.
Miami: Roger Federer admits he faces a real battle to land the 101st title of his career with the in-form Daniil Medvedev next up after Serbian Filip Krajinovic was dispatched 7-5 6-3 on Monday at the ATP and WTA Miami Open. The Swiss superstar produced an excellent all-round performance despite being tested by the world number 103 who belied his lowly ranking by producing some excellent tennis during an exciting first set. Federer, however, stylishly weathered the storm to seal the win – the 52nd of his career in Miami – and set up an intriguing last eight match with the highly-rated Medvedev. Also Read – Puducherry on top after 8-wkt win over ChandigarhThe Russian, who is at a career high ranking of 15, saw off American Reilly Opelka 7-6 (7/5) 6-7 (5/7) 7-6 (7/0), and has won four ATP hard-court titles, including three since last August. Federer beat him twice last year but is already a fan. “He’s clever how he plays the court because he can play it up and down, and he’s unusual when he plays from back,” said the Swiss, who hit 14 aces and won an impressive 74% of points on his first serve. “It’s a bit of a different approach.Thankfully I played him last year twice in Basel and Shanghai and I’m very impressed about his progress. I must say the last year has been unbelievable for him.” Also Read – Vijender’s next fight on Nov 22, opponent to be announced laterKrajinovic struggled with injury last year as problems with his ankle, left foot and hand restricted him to just seven tournaments in the first seven months of 2018. Yet some fierce hitting from the back of the court surprised the predictably pro-Federer crowd and a brilliant run and flick over the net handed him an early break for 3-2. Keeping the pressure on, however, was a different matter as Federer broke straight back before pocketing the opening set. The second set wasn’t as competitive, Federer easing home and finishing with 35 winners compared to the Serbian’s 18. Elsewhere, number 24 seed Grigor Dimitrov was beaten by world number 77 Jordan Thompson in straight sets ensuring the Australian will meet 2018 Wimbledon finalist Kevin Anderson who beat Portugal’s Joao Sousa 6-4, 7-6 (8/6). Simona Halep, meanwhile, got the better of Venus Williams once again as the Romanian made light work of the 38-year-old American to book a place in the quarter-finals with a 6-3, 6-3 win. “I was pretty strong with my serve and knew where to bother her,” said the reigning French Open champion who will meet China’s Wang Qiang in the last eight. “When I saw I can win easy games with my serve, it gave me great confidence,” she added. Bianca Andreescu, the 18-year-old Canadian sensation who won the title in Indian Wells, was forced to withdraw in the second set of her fourth round match with Anett Kontaveit. Andreescu was 1-6 0-2 down before a shoulder injury ruined her chances of another run to the finals. The Estonian will meet Taiwan’s Hsieh Su-Wei who continued her excellent form with a 6-3, 6-7 (0/7), 6-2 win over Caroline Wozniacki. Petra Kvitova, the world number 3, booked her place in the last eight, beating Caroline Garcia 6-3, 6-3 in a match which was held up for one hour and 40 minutes because of rain in South Florida. Kvitova plays Australian Ashleigh Barty for a place in the semi-finals.
Jalpaiguri/Falakata (WB): Trinamool Congress supremo Mamata Banerjee on Sunday accused Prime Minister Narendra Modi of using government machinery and institutions to intimidate the opposition, questioning the removal of Andhra Pradesh chief secretary by the Election Commission. She wondered why PM Modi is not removing his own cabinet secretary or the Union home secretary, if he was so “fond of making last-minute changes”. “Why is the Centre intervening in state matters? Why was Andhra Pradesh chief secretary removed?” Banerjee, who has accused the Election Commission (EC) of working at the behest of the BJP, asked, addressing an election rally. Also Read – India gets first tranche of Swiss bank a/c details “Why don’t you (Modi) remove your own cabinet secretary?” the CM said, claiming that she has worked with several prime ministers, but has never seen anyone as “vindictive” like Modi. The EC on Friday removed Andhra Pradesh Chief Secretary Anil Chandra Punetha from the post and appointed senior-most IAS officer L V Subrahmanyam in his place. “You have raided the family of Kamal Nath, Karnataka chief minister has been raided, Andhra Pradesh chief minister has also been raided,” she said. Also Read – Tourists to be allowed in J&K from Thursday Banerjee accused the BJP-led Central government of using the income tax department and the CBI for raids and getting the institutions to do their bidding. Reacting to the poll panel’s move of removing four IPS officers in West Bengal, including Kolkata and Bidhanagar police commissioners, the West Bengal chief minister Saturday wrote a letter, protesting its decision. The letter said the removals were “unfortunate, highly arbitrary, motivated and biased” and taken at the behest of the BJP, and urged the poll panel to review its decision. Retorting to PM’s claim that the TMC chief was scared of him, Banerjee said it was actually Modi who was afraid of her, and not the other way round. “The more you try to intimidate me, the more will I roar,” she said, addressing two back-to-back rallies, a couple of hours after Modi’s speech at Cooch Behar. “Didi is not a person to be afraid of anything or anybody,” the feisty TMC supremo, who almost single-handedly brought down the CPI(M)-led Left Front in West Bengal, ending its 34-year rule, asserted. Without naming former political associate Mukul Roy, whom she addressed as a “traitor” for quitting her party to join the BJP, she accused Modi of sharing the dias at his public meeting in Cooch Behar with a person (Roy) accused in the Saradha and Narada cases. “You (Modi) have said in Cooch Behar that you will seek answers for Saradha-Narada scams… It’s your leader (Roy) who is accused in these and not the Trinamool,” she said. “Saradha scam happened during the CPI(M) rule, but you have made accusations against us (TMC) in 2014, 2016 and now again. Have you (Modi) been able to clean the Ganga at Varanasi, that you are looking at Bengal?” Banerjee asked, suggesting that BJP should try to save its citadel in Delhi. Asserting that she is not perturbed at the removal of officers in the state, she said those who are afraid of losing elections indulge in such acts. “The more they change our officers, the more we will win,” she said. Terming Modi as a “nakal chowkidar” (fake watchman), she said “chowkidar jhuta jai, chowkidar lootera hai (watchman is liar, he is a thief)”. On the Pulwama attack, the chief minister said the BJP is trying to politicise their martyrdom. She also dared the saffron party to implement the National Register of Citizens (NRC) in West Bengal, asserting it will never be allowed in the state. Claiming that North Bengal was neglected before the TMC came to power, she said the BJP comes like a cuckoo bird in the spring only during the elections. “We are there with the people 365 days a year,” Banerjee said, adding she visits North Bengal every month. Accusing the BJP of engineering unrest in Darjeeling, where violent protests had jeopardised normal life, she said that those who created a rift between the people of the hills and the plains are now candidates of the saffron party. The chief minister said that before her party was voted to power in the state, 400 hundred people used to get killed in the Maoist-affected ‘Jangalmahal’ every year. “When peace prevails in the state, Modi and the BJP are trying to ignite unrest again. Where was Modi when Jangalmahal and Darjeeling were burning?” Banerjee asked, reiterating her recent jab – “Expiry Babu” – at him. Banerjee said that the PM has not given anything to Bengal. “Even the change of the state’s name has not been sanctioned by the Centre.” “We have given rice to the poor people of the state for Rs two per kg, while the Modi government’s actions caused job loss of two crore people in the country,” she alleged. She also accused the PM of allowing people who looted people’s money to flee the country. Banerjee said that the BJP government at the Centre had promised reopening of closed tea gardens in North Bengal, but has failed to do so, while she got a tea garden with 1,200 workers to start functioning again on Sunday.
Bangalore: Bottom-placed Royal Challengers Bangalore (RCB) will look to salvage pride while Sunrisers Hyderabad (SRH) will aim to seal the final play-off berth when the two sides square-off for one final time in the Indian Premier League (IPL) 2019 at the M Chinnaswamy Stadium here on Saturday. The Kane Williamson-led Hyderabad side will need to forget their disappointing Super Over loss to three-time champions Mumbai Indians and need to get their act together in their must-win game. Also Read – We will push hard for Kabaddi”s inclusion in 2024 Olympics: RijijuOne good news for Hyderabad is that even if they lose their last game, they can still reach the playoffs if Kolkata Knight Riders (KKR) and Kings XI Punjab (KXIP) don’t win more than one of their last two matches. In the absence of their star batsmen — David Warner and Johnny Bairstow — young Manish Pandey shouldered the responsibility in their game against Mumbai as he clobbered Hardik Pandya for a six in the final ball to push the match into the Super Over. Also Read – Djokovic to debut against Shapovalov at Shanghai MastersPandey played a valiant 47-ball unbeaten 71-run knock and didn’t let his team miss the presence of Warner, who had consecutively scored runs for Hyderabad this season. Along with him, skipper Williamson, all-rounder Vijay Shankar and comeback man Wriddhiman Saha will also need to contribute effectively. The Hyderabad bowlers have performed well so far but will need to click as a unit against Bangalore, which boasts of batsmen like AB de Villiers and Virat Kohli. A lot will also depend on leg-spinner Rashid Khan and K Khaleel Ahmed, who have been amongst the wickets for the Orange Army. While Rashid has 14 wickets from 13 games, Khaleel has also been impressive with 14 scalps from just seven matches. They will need the support of the experienced Bhuvneshwar Kumar. Coming to Bangalore, the Kohli-led side has nothing to lose and will just look to play for pride after exiting from the race to the play-offs. Kohli will certainly aim to end things on a winning note after losing eight of their 13 games. The skipper, who has amassed 448 runs from 13 games, is the leading run-getter for his side but lacked support from the other batsmen. Apart from him, de Villers has also contributed with 441 runs from 12 games. The duo will need to leave the sad memories behind and get their act together. Bangalore’s bowling would once again rely on Yuzvendra Chahal, Umesh Yadav and Navdeep Saini. Despite the wicket generally assisting batsmen in Bangalore, the host’s bowlers will have to get wickets at regular intervals besides being economical.
The normally resolute Urban Meyer paused, carefully considering the ramifications of the next few words to come out of his mouth. His Buckeyes had just dispatched their most hated rival, Michigan, 26-21 in Meyer’s first taste of The Game to complete an undefeated season. No ties, no losses, the Buckeyes record stood at 12-0, but now the coach, staff and players were forced to face what they had been putting off all year. Due to NCAA sanctions dating back to infractions committed under former coach Jim Tressel’s tenure, there would be no postseason for Meyer’s Buckeyes. No conference championship game – the Big Ten Leaders Division would send a 7-5 Wisconsin team in OSU’s place – no BCS bowl bid and certainly no national championship game. The question that had been asked all year could no longer be sidestepped with “We’re just focusing on the next game,” or “We’ll worry about that at the end of the year.” No, the time had finally come for an answer, and even then Meyer didn’t seem completely sure how to phrase his response. If OSU is the last unbeaten team at the end of this season, should Ohio State be No. 1 in the Associated Press Poll? “Just trying to picture the headline here,” Meyer said after his long pause. “You know, I don’t know enough to – I think we’re at this point – like I said, the quote I’d like out there is I think this team could play and compete with any team in the United States of America as of now. I didn’t say that several weeks ago because we couldn’t. I understand, but I’m not going to get into the what if’s and can’t control what you can’t control.” What Meyer can’t control is the perception of his team and the conference it plays in, and right now that perception is that the Buckeyes had a relatively easy road to an unblemished record – especially with no bowl game to use as a final measuring stick. The Buckeyes are ranked No. 4 in the latest edition of the AP poll, which is a collection of 60 sportswriters from across the country that rate what they believe are the best 25 teams in America. Ranked ahead of the Buckeyes are, in order, Notre Dame, Alabama and Georgia. Out of that group, only Notre Dame is undefeated and Alabama and Georgia each have one loss. Seventeen voters ranked OSU as the No. 2 team in the country, and 24 voters ranked the Buckeyes fifth or worst, with the lowest ranking being No. 12. Pete DiPrimio, an AP voter who covers college football for the Fort Wayne News-Sentinel in Fort Wayne, Ind., ranked the Buckeyes No. 11 in his poll, the second lowest of any voter. “They had a fairly weak non-conference schedule and the Big Ten this season is, maybe, historically weak,” DiPrimio told The Lantern. “Now, if there is a playoff, life is different, but there’s not … Through no fault of their own they haven’t beaten any top-10 caliber team, not even close.” OSU’s players, who were muzzled from talking about the issue throughout the season, weren’t as hesitant as their coach to express where they think the team fits into the national picture. “Yeah I think we should be No. 1,” said junior running back Carlos Hyde. “I feel like we’re the best team in the nation, so yeah, I feel like we should be No. 1 at the end of the season.” Hyde wasn’t alone in his opinion. Redshirt senior receiver Jake Stoneburner, redshirt senior linebacker Etienne Sabino and junior receiver Corey Brown also said they believed OSU should be at least considered for the No. 1 ranking if they are the only undefeated team at the end of the season. More players probably share that opinion as only about a dozen players were made available to speak to the media after the game. But no matter how the rest of the season pans out, the Buckeyes’ chances at being crowned national champions are slim, maybe impossible. “I just don’t think it’s going to happen,” said Joe Walljasper, the sports editor of the Columbia Daily Tribune in Columbia, Mo., who ranked OSU No. 6 in his rankings. “I think there’s too many teams between them and not enough of the right teams could possibly lose.” Clearly, the players on OSU’s team believe their resume is better than the AP voters think it is. The Buckeyes beat two teams currently ranked in the top 25 this season in No. 14 Nebraska and No. 21 Michigan compared to Georgia, which has beaten one (No. 4 Florida), and Alabama, who’s beaten two (No. 6 LSU and No. 21 Michigan). Notre Dame has beaten three (No. 8 Stanford, No. 12 Oklahoma and No. 21 Michigan). Not playing a team ranked in the top-10 in or out of conference is something holding some voters back. “It’s not like (OSU is) playing in the WAC or something,” Walljasper said. “Normally between Michigan, Wisconsin, Nebraska you’d have a top-10 team in there and you just don’t this year.” OSU beat seven bowl-eligible teams (including 8-win Penn State) compared to Notre Dame’s nine, Alabama’s five and Georgia’s four. Georgia and Alabama play next Saturday in the SEC Championship with the winner presumably going to play Notre Dame in the BCS Championship Game. Many fans have taken issue with Georgia being ranked ahead of the Buckeyes because the Bulldogs suffered a 28-point loss to South Carolina. “They played an SEC schedule,” DiPrimio said of his reasoning. “An average SEC team this year is stronger than most of the Big Ten. I think Georgia gets credit for its SEC schedule.” Walljasper said OSU would probably lose “two or three games” in the SEC. Though the players believe otherwise, they’re satisfied with their accomplishments. “Hey, we’re 12-0. That’s all I can say,” Sabino said. “People can talk what they want. (There are) a whole bunch of what-if’s now. I know we took care of what we had to do. We set out to win every single game this year and that’s what we did. It wasn’t pretty but it happened. We’re happy.”